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Map the Midterms2026 midterms information · not official

Polls

Polls and race ratings

Individual published surveys for key 2026 Senate and governor races, plus ratings that a named outlet has actually published. This page is not a polling average and not a prediction of control.

National generic ballot

Two recent public surveys compiled via PollingSource. Averages move. Check RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight / ABC for live aggregations. Not a prediction of House control.

Attributed race ratings

Placements appear only when a named outlet (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, or Decision Desk HQ) has published a rating we can link. They are not Map the Midterms forecasts.

Solid D
Likely D
  • GA Senate

    Sabato's Crystal Ball · September 8, 2026

Lean D
  • GA Senate

    Cook Political Report · September 8, 2026

  • NC Senate

    Cook Political Report · August 20, 2026

  • AZ Governor

    Cook Political Report · August 27, 2026

  • MI Governor

    Cook Political Report · August 20, 2026

Tilt D
  • GA Senate

    Inside Elections · September 8, 2026

Tossup
Likely R
Published 2026 surveys we can citeIndividual published surveys. Not a Map the Midterms average and not a prediction.
RacePollsterDatesSampleDemRepSpread
GA SenateQuantus Insights
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 9–12, 2026624 RV · ±4.038Ossoff38CollinsTie
GA SenateTIPP
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 28–Aug 1, 20262,956 RV · ±1.845Ossoff44CollinsOssoff +1
GA SenateFabrizio Ward / Impact Research
Ballotpedia, United States Senate election in Georgia, 2026 (AARP-sponsored poll) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 13–16, 20261,060 LV · ±3.052Ossoff43CollinsOssoff +9
GA SenateBeacon Research / Shaw & Company (Fox News)
Ballotpedia, United States Senate election in Georgia, 2026 (Fox News poll) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 23–27, 20261,002 RV · ±3.056Ossoff43CollinsOssoff +13
GA SenateCygnal
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
May 15–17, 2026800 RV · ±3.446Ossoff43CollinsOssoff +3
GA SenateTrafalgar Group
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
Apr 24–27, 20261,426 LV · ±2.948Ossoff43CollinsOssoff +5
MI SenateEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Michigan 2026 poll · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.048El-Sayed46RogersEl-Sayed +2
NC SenateElon University Poll
Elon University, Cooper maintains double-digit lead · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 21–31, 2026800 adults (LV subset) · ±5.6 LV49Cooper38WhatleyCooper +11
TX SenateEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Texas 2026 poll (Sept. 12–14) · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.047Talarico46PaxtonTalarico +1
TX SenateEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Texas 2026 poll (Aug. 9–10) · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 9–10, 20261,000 LV · ±3.046Talarico47PaxtonPaxton +1
TX SenateTexas A&M / Siena
RealClearPolling, 2026 Texas Senate — Paxton vs. Talarico · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 1–4, 2026807 LV · ±4.046Talarico46PaxtonTie
TX SenateQuantus Insights
RealClearPolling, 2026 Texas Senate — Paxton vs. Talarico · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 3–4, 2026800 LV · ±3.543Talarico45PaxtonPaxton +2
TX SenateTexas Southern University / YouGov
RealClearPolling, 2026 Texas Senate — Paxton vs. Talarico · accessed September 17, 2026
Apr 22–May 6, 20261,223 RV · ±2.845Talarico45PaxtonTie
AZ GovernorHighGround
270toWin, 2026 Arizona governor polls (HighGround) · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 25, 2026See source50Hobbs34BiggsHobbs +16
GA GovernorFabrizio Ward / Impact Research
Ballotpedia, Georgia gubernatorial election, 2026 (AARP-sponsored poll) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 13–16, 20261,060 LV · ±3.048Bottoms46JacksonBottoms +2
MI GovernorEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Michigan 2026 poll · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.049Benson42JamesBenson +7
NV GovernorEmerson College / KLAS-TV
Emerson College Polling, Nevada 2026 poll · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 5–8, 2026680 LV · ±3.744Ford42LombardoFord +2
TX GovernorEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Texas 2026 poll (Sept. 12–14) · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.046Hinojosa49AbbottAbbott +3
OH GovernorBowling Green State University / YouGov
Newsweek, Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Amy Acton poll (BGSU/YouGov) · accessed September 17, 2026
Released Sep 16, 20261,000 LV · ±4.048Acton45RamaswamyActon +3
PA GovernorFranklin & Marshall College
WGAL, Franklin & Marshall College Poll (August 2026) · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 17–23, 2026501 RV50Shapiro25GarrityShapiro +25
WI GovernorMarquette Law School Poll
Marquette Law School Poll, Crowley leading Tiffany among likely voters · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 12–20, 2026738 LV (of 891 RV) · ±4.5 LV49Crowley44TiffanyCrowley +5
FL GovernorChange Research (Freedom Project USA)
Newsweek, Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly poll (Change Research) · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 7–9, 20261,107 LV · ±2.847Jolly44DonaldsJolly +3
FL GovernorUniversity of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab
Newsweek, Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly poll (UNF PORL) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 8–17, 2026848 LV · ±3.841Jolly46DonaldsDonalds +5
CA GovernorPublic Policy Institute of California
PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment (July 2026) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 29–Jul 6, 20261,003 LV · ±3.861Becerra36HiltonBecerra +25
NY GovernorSiena Research Institute
Siena Research Institute, Hochul 49%, Blakeman 39% · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 3–6, 2026811 LV · ±4.249Hochul39BlakemanHochul +10