Election night: follow the 2026 midterm results live. Live results

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Polls

Polls and race ratings

Individual published surveys for key 2026 Senate and governor races, plus ratings that a named outlet has actually published. This page is not a polling average and not a prediction of control.

Informational, not advice. Compiled from public sources and AI-assisted; verify with official sources.

Last updated: October 17, 2026. Unofficial information. Not affiliated with any government or election authority. Confirm with your official election office (Vote.gov).

By the Map the Midterms Editorial Team · Report an error

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Generic civic building. Not a photograph of a specific state capitol.

National generic ballot

Two recent public surveys compiled via PollingSource. Averages move. Check RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight / ABC for live aggregations. Not a prediction of House control.

Attributed race ratings

Placements appear only when a named outlet (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, or Decision Desk HQ) has published a rating we can link. They are not Map the Midterms forecasts.

Solid D
Likely D
  • GA Senate

    Sabato's Crystal Ball · September 8, 2026

Lean D
  • GA Senate

    Cook Political Report · September 8, 2026

  • NC Senate

    Cook Political Report · August 20, 2026

  • AZ Governor

    Cook Political Report · August 27, 2026

  • MI Governor

    Cook Political Report · August 20, 2026

Tilt D
  • GA Senate

    Inside Elections · September 8, 2026

Tossup
Likely R
Published 2026 surveys we can citeIndividual published surveys. Not a Map the Midterms average and not a prediction.
RacePollsterDatesSampleDemRepSpread
GA SenateQuantus Insights
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 9–12, 2026624 RV · ±4.038OssoffOfficial list38CollinsOfficial listTie
GA SenateTIPP
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 28–Aug 1, 20262,956 RV · ±1.845OssoffOfficial list44CollinsOfficial listOssoff +1
GA SenateFabrizio Ward / Impact Research
Ballotpedia, United States Senate election in Georgia, 2026 (AARP-sponsored poll) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 13–16, 20261,060 LV · ±3.052OssoffOfficial list43CollinsOfficial listOssoff +9
GA SenateBeacon Research / Shaw & Company (Fox News)
Ballotpedia, United States Senate election in Georgia, 2026 (Fox News poll) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 23–27, 20261,002 RV · ±3.056OssoffOfficial list43CollinsOfficial listOssoff +13
GA SenateCygnal
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
May 15–17, 2026800 RV · ±3.446OssoffOfficial list43CollinsOfficial listOssoff +3
GA SenateTrafalgar Group
RealClearPolitics, 2026 Georgia Senate — Collins vs. Ossoff · accessed September 17, 2026
Apr 24–27, 20261,426 LV · ±2.948OssoffOfficial list43CollinsOfficial listOssoff +5
MI SenateEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Michigan 2026 poll · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.048El-SayedOfficial list46RogersOfficial listEl-Sayed +2
NC SenateElon University Poll
Elon University, Cooper maintains double-digit lead · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 21–31, 2026800 adults (LV subset) · ±5.6 LV49CooperOfficial list38WhatleyOfficial listCooper +11
TX SenateEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Texas 2026 poll (Sept. 12–14) · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.047TalaricoOfficial list46PaxtonOfficial listTalarico +1
TX SenateEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Texas 2026 poll (Aug. 9–10) · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 9–10, 20261,000 LV · ±3.046TalaricoOfficial list47PaxtonOfficial listPaxton +1
TX SenateTexas A&M / Siena
RealClearPolling, 2026 Texas Senate — Paxton vs. Talarico · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 1–4, 2026807 LV · ±4.046TalaricoOfficial list46PaxtonOfficial listTie
TX SenateQuantus Insights
RealClearPolling, 2026 Texas Senate — Paxton vs. Talarico · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 3–4, 2026800 LV · ±3.543TalaricoOfficial list45PaxtonOfficial listPaxton +2
TX SenateTexas Southern University / YouGov
RealClearPolling, 2026 Texas Senate — Paxton vs. Talarico · accessed September 17, 2026
Apr 22–May 6, 20261,223 RV · ±2.845TalaricoOfficial list45PaxtonOfficial listTie
AZ GovernorHighGround
270toWin, 2026 Arizona governor polls (HighGround) · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 25, 2026See source50HobbsOfficial list34BiggsOfficial listHobbs +16
GA GovernorFabrizio Ward / Impact Research
Ballotpedia, Georgia gubernatorial election, 2026 (AARP-sponsored poll) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 13–16, 20261,060 LV · ±3.04846JacksonOfficial listD +2
MI GovernorEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Michigan 2026 poll · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.049BensonOfficial list42JamesOfficial listBenson +7
NV GovernorEmerson College / KLAS-TV
Emerson College Polling, Nevada 2026 poll · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 5–8, 2026680 LV · ±3.744FordOfficial list42LombardoOfficial listFord +2
TX GovernorEmerson College / Nexstar
Emerson College Polling, Texas 2026 poll (Sept. 12–14) · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV · ±3.046HinojosaOfficial list49AbbottOfficial listAbbott +3
OH GovernorBowling Green State University / YouGov
Newsweek, Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Amy Acton poll (BGSU/YouGov) · accessed September 17, 2026
Released Sep 16, 20261,000 LV · ±4.048ActonOfficial list45RamaswamyOfficial listActon +3
PA GovernorFranklin & Marshall College
WGAL, Franklin & Marshall College Poll (August 2026) · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 17–23, 2026501 RV50ShapiroOfficial list25GarrityOfficial listShapiro +25
WI GovernorMarquette Law School Poll
Marquette Law School Poll, Crowley leading Tiffany among likely voters · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 12–20, 2026738 LV (of 891 RV) · ±4.5 LV49CrowleyOfficial list44TiffanyOfficial listCrowley +5
FL GovernorChange Research (Freedom Project USA)
Newsweek, Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly poll (Change Research) · accessed September 17, 2026
Sep 7–9, 20261,107 LV · ±2.847JollyOfficial list44DonaldsOfficial listJolly +3
FL GovernorUniversity of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab
Newsweek, Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly poll (UNF PORL) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jul 8–17, 2026848 LV · ±3.841JollyOfficial list46DonaldsOfficial listDonalds +5
CA GovernorPublic Policy Institute of California
PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment (July 2026) · accessed September 17, 2026
Jun 29–Jul 6, 20261,003 LV · ±3.861BecerraOfficial list36HiltonOfficial listBecerra +25
NY GovernorSiena Research Institute
Siena Research Institute, Hochul 49%, Blakeman 39% · accessed September 17, 2026
Aug 3–6, 2026811 LV · ±4.249HochulOfficial list39BlakemanOfficial listHochul +10

Questions readers ask

Short answers from the surveys, ratings, and aggregator links already on this page. A number here is not a prediction. Registration and voting rules are published by the election office.

Is this page a polling average or a forecast of control?
No. The table lists 25 individual published surveys we can cite. Each row shows the pollster, field dates, sample, and a source link. Map the Midterms does not average those rows and does not turn them into a forecast of House, Senate, or governor control. The rating board is separate. It quotes named outlets. It is not a prediction from this site. RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight / ABC News publish live aggregations, and this page links to them.
Whose race ratings appear here, and what do the dates mean?
A guide appears on the rating board only when it stores a placement from a named outlet we can link. Outlets in the current set are Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The date under a rating is that outlet’s as-of date, not a rating assigned by Map the Midterms. None of the 12 U.S. House guides in this set store a linkable rating, so those districts do not appear on the board. A missing card is not an endorsement and not a claim that every outlet agrees.
What does the national generic ballot section mean?
The national generic ballot section shows two recent public surveys compiled via PollingSource: Economist / YouGov (Dem 49, Rep 38; Sep 8, 2026; 1,015 LV) and Morning Consult (Dem 46, Rep 42; Sep 6, 2026; 24,000 LV). A generic congressional ballot asks which party someone would support for the U.S. House, nationally. These rows are not a Map the Midterms average, not a prediction of which party will control the House, and not a result in any state or district. RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight / ABC News publish live aggregations, and this page links to them.
How current are these polls, and where are live aggregations?
This page is not a live feed, and Map the Midterms does not refresh it on a fixed schedule. The surveys and generic-ballot rows cite public sources accessed September 17, 2026. A newer poll can show up at the source link on a row, or at the live aggregators already linked here: RealClearPolitics, including its generic congressional ballot, and FiveThirtyEight / ABC News. Those sites are independent of this page. A figure on those sites is not a Map the Midterms average.
How do these polls relate to individual race guides?
Each survey is tagged to one race guide. Guides with at least one cited survey on this page are GA Senate, MI Senate, NC Senate, TX Senate, AZ Governor, GA Governor, MI Governor, NV Governor, TX Governor, OH Governor, PA Governor, WI Governor, FL Governor, CA Governor, and NY Governor. The race name in the table opens that guide, where the same survey can appear under Published polls. Guides without a cited survey here are MN Senate, ME Senate, IA Senate, AK Senate, KS Senate, MN Governor, ME Governor, IA Governor, AK Governor, KS Governor, AZ-01, GA-07, MI-07, NC-01, NV-03, OH-09, PA-07, WI-03, TX-15, FL-13, CA-13, and NY-22. On a guide with no individual survey we can cite, the empty table is not a forecast. That guide points to RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight / ABC News instead.
Is Map the Midterms an official election website or a pollster?
No. Map the Midterms is an informational site. It does not conduct polls. It is not a campaign, and it is not a government, secretary of state, or county election website. Registration, sample ballots, and voting rules are published by the state or county election office and by Vote.gov.

Race guides · Ballot lookup · RealClearPolitics · FiveThirtyEight / ABC · Vote.gov